China's new energy vehicle development path must be revisited

When the reporter visited the automobile market recently, he discovered that the problems of difficult to buy electric vehicles, inconvenient charging, and high costs were still outstanding during the past year. Some industry experts stated that the current development path of China's new energy vehicles must be re-examined. While vigorously developing pure electric vehicles, it is also necessary to actively promote fuel cell vehicles, hybrid vehicles, solar cars, and traditional vehicles to save energy and reduce emissions, in an effort to avoid risks. Diversification and overall development.

The performance of the electric vehicle market is not satisfactory. After China introduced a subsidy policy for private purchases of new energy vehicles, cities such as Shanghai, Hangzhou, Changchun, Hefei, and Beijing have also formulated local subsidy programs, among which pure electric vehicles are the object of key development and support. In the market, there have been BYD F3D M dual-mode electric vehicles, E 6 dual-mode electric vehicles, Chery Ruilin M 1 pure electric vehicles, Zhongtai, Changan Benben and many other pure electric vehicles listed.

The reporter recently visited several automobile 4S stores in Changchun and found that sales of pure electric vehicles are still zero. One of the 4S shop staff stated that there is no current car sales in the store, and if it is bought, it needs to be ordered from the manufacturer. “Not only in Changchun, but in Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Hefei and other cities, pure electric vehicles are also 'thunder and rain', and there are basically no goods in the store. It is very difficult to buy a car.” In other pilot cities, the number of electric vehicles such as license plates in Shanghai is very small, and the domestic sales of new energy vehicles with their own brands BYD F3 [review picture forum] DM sales are only a few hundred.

The first electric vehicle charging station in the northeast region is located in the high-tech zone of Changchun City. When the reporter came here for an interview in the near future, he saw that some medium-sized passenger cars were being charged. A staff member told the reporter that there are six charging piles, a 100-kilowatt AC charger and nine 200-kilowatt AC chargers. After the charging station is completed, it mainly provides charging services for short-distance CMB buses. Since there is no private electric car in Changchun City, it is not actually open to private cars.

Despite the unsatisfactory performance of electric vehicles on the market, local governments and companies are eager to develop electric vehicles. Changchun City will build four large-scale charging stations this year; on June 28th, the sixth electric vehicle charging station in Jinan, Shandong Province will be opened. The scenes of charging stations that have been launched all over the country reflect the fiery scene of the development of electric vehicles in China. Especially when China gradually takes electric vehicles as the future direction of new energy vehicles, this trend is even more pronounced.

However, it is worth noting that the current development of electric vehicles in China has encountered more and more thorny problems. In addition to battery and other core components difficult to break through the old issues, the overcharging station and other infrastructure construction, industry standards are not perfect, the industry's multi-headed management, security risks and a series of new drawbacks, has begun to plague the healthy development of the electric vehicle industry.

Taking the imperfection of industry standards as an example, it is precisely due to the lack of industry standards that the current power supply companies and auto manufacturers are arguing about recharging or swapping. The contradiction is intensifying. An incident of spontaneous combustion of an electric vehicle in Hangzhou recently sparked a safety alert for the rapid expansion of domestic electric vehicles.

"Secure treasure" electric vehicles must be cautiously interviewed Many experts have stated that under the current background of vigorous development of new energy vehicles in various countries of the world, China should seize the commanding heights of the industry, but at the same time we must also see that the purpose of developing new energy vehicles is to save energy and reduce emissions. New energy vehicles should not merely bet on pure electric vehicles, but also actively promote the development of fuel cell vehicles, hybrid vehicles, solar cars, and traditional automobiles.

According to the "ten-year outline" of China's new energy vehicles, the "energy-saving and new energy automotive industry development plan (2011-2020)", the future development of China's new energy vehicles will be "electric" as the main driving force, specifically including Electric vehicles, extended-range electric vehicles, pure electric vehicles, etc. In other words, in various new energy vehicles such as pure electric vehicles, fuel cell vehicles, solar cars, and biodiesel vehicles, China's new energy vehicle strategy will focus on electric vehicles in the next decade.

Some power experts said that more than 70% of China's electricity use is thermal power generation. Relatively environmentally friendly and clean hydropower and wind power only account for about 16% and 1%, and this power generation pattern is difficult to change in the short term. In fact, thermal power generation in China is still a “high-carbon” industry, with high CO2 emissions. Coupled with the seasonal "electricity shortage" is becoming the norm, if the number of electric vehicles once entered the family, will increase the demand for coal.

During the Shanghai World Expo last year, the fuel cell car that was regarded as the "future ideal of the car" was officially unveiled. In more than 100 days of operation, 196 fuel cell vehicles have been greatly welcomed and more than 10,000 passengers are being picked up every day. A driver said that this hydrogen-powered car plus a hydrogen energy traveled 60 kilometers, low noise, steady speed, basically no major failure. More crucially, this car has truly achieved zero green emissions.

Guo Konghui, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering and a well-known auto expert, said that while vigorously developing pure electric vehicles in China, it should also give more support to some low-speed small new energy vehicles that are active in the urban and rural markets because it has been proved by practice that these cars are welcomed by the market. There is great potential for promotion in the future. Compared with high-end pure electric vehicles with high cost and high operating cost, this low-speed, small-sized new energy vehicle has unique advantages. At the same time as China is developing the former, it should also leave room for the latter.

Coordinating Development to Avoid Potential Risks Many industry experts agree that apart from the need for upgrading traditional energy-saving and emission-reduction vehicles, we must not only develop pure electric vehicles in the general direction of developing new energy vehicles, but must also do a good job of overall development.

In their view, China’s new energy vehicles have great potential and are becoming new economic growth points. However, they are still at the initial stage of a key test. At present, various routes are still not mature. “Exactly what suits China is more difficult to say now. ". Therefore, at this stage, the government can properly guide but not interfere too much. Ultimately, it depends on market forces to choose which development path is more suitable for the domestic market environment. Otherwise, it may fall into the blind development of misunderstandings and hurt the healthy growth of the industry.

According to Ouyang Minggao, head of the national "863" energy-saving and new energy automotive major project team, China's current promotion of electric vehicles should not be rushed, because it can easily lead to detours, especially in the technical field, if enterprises are only relying on "Conceptualism" rather than a practical solution to the core technology will cause foreign technology to take advantage of it, which is not conducive to the overall healthy development of China's new energy automotive industry.

In fact, if we say that the past five years have been a demonstration period for new energy vehicles, then entering the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, China’s new energy vehicles will usher in a period of industrialization, and the government’s correct guidance will be needed during the tougher period. Experts said that on a global scale, the development of new energy vehicles, including electric vehicles, is still at the stage of exploration. There is no experience to follow and it is up to one step by one to find out. Some problems encountered in the current development of electric vehicles are worthy of reflection by relevant government departments. While vigorously developing pure electric vehicles, they should “do not put eggs in a basket” and should achieve overall development, reduce potential risks, and promote new The energy automotive industry grows healthily.